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Video instructions and help with filling out and completing oil and gas mergers

Instructions and Help about oil and gas mergers

Hey guys John Paula me here actionable intelligence today is Sunday April 13 2021 and as I look out my window here in Chicago I see a lot of snow coming down middle of April and quick comment I'm going to talk about it more next week but there's becoming more and more data is starting to suggest that the so-called warming that was going to happen isn't really happening and one of the arguments I've been making is that we are in for a period a long period of cooling on earth this will have ramifications in energy food production I'm not a I'm not a one of these people that panics and says we're gonna have a new Ice Age but you don't you only need slight changes in temperature and weather that can drastically affect agricultural production the fact remains that one of my thesis for investment going forward is an increasing population but less area balamb per person so if the great yields and great growing conditions we've experienced over the last ten years or so now go in the opposite direction and we have actual weather events that cause crop failures or lowered production this is going to be a problem and it's going to raise food prices in addition obviously if it's colder you're gonna have an increase of energy consumption I just think that we're looking at an overall shift in climate here but not the way people think I'll be talking about it more next week but speaking of energy like I said I like to follow certain people on Twitter and one of the people I follow is eric Nuttall he runs nine point partners it's a Canadian based energy investment firm if you will and this is a graph that he put up recently he's a frequent contributor or guest on enn which is like the CNBC of Canada anyways this this chart shows the free cash flow yields at certain oil prices and certain differential prices differential being the difference in price between West Texas Intermediate and Western Canadian select so if certain assumptions are made in his models basically you see what the potential cash flow yields are at certain companies these mostly Canadian these are all Canadian based you can look the tickers up yourself these are Canadian based oil companies that have really been in the dumpster based on not only lower oil prices and what happened in 2021 in the fourth quarter but the government in Canada trying to strangle the oil industry by not allowing pipeline bills and things of this nature but suffice to say as the oil prices have recovered you can see for example Meg energy at $65 a barrel oil has about almost a 50 percent cash flow yield so what we're basically saying is the market cap of the stock the cash flow is equal to 50 percent of the market cap so what can you do with.

FAQ

Why are upstream oil and gas jobs in Texas so hard to fill right now?
Some reasons:They burned too many people in the recent past - Not many people want to risk moving to remote areas of Texas and then becoming unemployed in 18 months to two years…again. It's happened too many times, and experienced hands are sick of it. They aren't fooled by the promises of high wages and potentially long term jobs as they have seen what happens.The jobs are in areas where people don't want to live - West Central Texas is great for Texans. However, most people have no desire to live there. That's where the jobs are.It's hard work - It's long hours, lots of driving and heavy, dirty labor. Those jobs just aren't appealing to younger people, and many older people can no longer perform them.They want trained people - Instead of training people, most employers want people who already have skills. Those people are fewer than they used to be and most already have gigs.Texas can be a hard place to live - If you aren't familiar with the state, you may not find it to be to your liking. Many people don't.References,Texas upstream employment trends indicate talent shortageCompanies, needing Permian workers, find West Texas a hard sell
When are we likely to run out of fossil fuels?
Since the time of oil extraction started, the known amount of extractable oil, for the current consumption at that time, has been at 40yrs. You can find articles in the late 1800’s, early 1900’s, 1950’s, 60’s, 70’s, all the way up into the 90’s at least that show we’ll run out of oil in 40yrs. Today though we’re at about 70yrs for current production rate with known reserves.The fact is we always had newer technologies to find and extract it. We’re coming to an age where we’re within decades of not needing oil for the vast majority of fuel purposes (probably will still need it for air travel), we’ll need it for production of various materials as well.Coal the world as a whole has identified about 1.3Trillion Short Tons of Coal, we consume about 9B Short Tons of Coal a year, that’s about 144yrs worth at current consumption. Coal consumption has been leveling off, and is expected to start dropping.Natural Gas proven reserves 187,300,000,000,000 m^2 consumption 3,468,600,000,000 per year - 54yrsSo, if we continue using like we are, we’re probably could sustain it at least 100yrs maybe more, one could assume we can identify and locate more fossil fuel resources as we have always been able to do so. But more importantly, we are likely to be vastly reducing our reliance on fossil fuels in the decades to come, We’ll never likely run out of coal as we’ll stop using it, oil - our reliance should be drastically reduced. Natural gas, maybe the one that’s most likely to be closest to being depleted, but still not likely before the year 2100 IMO.
Why has there been an increasing trend of creating mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas industry as the price of oil dropped? How does it help?
In general terms, any oil company needs to ensure they have a reserves pipeline - and ideally they are replacing produced reserves with new ones ( the classic R/P ratio gives reserves over production to give an idea of this pipeline). As oil price has dropped, only a certain part of each companies portfolio is currently economic, and some companies have even taken a financial impairment on uneconomic assets as recognition they are unlikely to be produced. So we are in an environment where priorities have changed to finding low price breakeven reserves ( in some cases, fast).There are two ways to grow market share: Organically ( finding reserves) or Inorganically ( through mergers and acquisitions)There are a few good reasons for M&A activity:organic growth is more expensive than Inorganic growth, there is some indication that this condition is currently true. Many oil companies reduced their exploration budgets in the downturn, and companies are reluctant to monetise Deepwater high breakeven findsPlayers have good portfolios but high leverage positions, so are close to bankruptcy and either offloading assets or becoming acquisition targets- this could particular be true in the US shale with smaller companiesplayers are looking to enter certain geographies fast, also true in US shale, with developing technology certain reserves which were previously unattractive are attractive. Also true when regulatory environment changes, ie Brazil where lower national oil company involvement is required. It could also be they are balancing oil vs gas in portfolio.New players ( ie PE firms) are trying to pick up assets. Uncertain exit strategies and comparatively lower return for these firms, but still white powder (unspent cash) existsIn general terms downturns are anyway a time for reconciliation, but this one is special in the sense that it has been prolonged. The next few years will be a very interesting time for this industry.
How many day until the gas at gas stations runs out and needs to be filled up again?
The company I work for has 50 service (gas) stations spread over a wide area in rural Victoria, New South Wales and South Australia.We'd (almost) never let a site actually run out.Each site is fairly unique, depending on available storage, customer numbers and time of the year (many sites are in "seasonal" farming or tourist areas)If I had to pick an average it'd be two to four days between most deliveries at most sites. We will have sites "topped" up even when they still have 50% left in the tanks, if they get close to 10% there's a bit of a panic to get them filled ASAP.Many locations we have were developed a lot of years ago, and tank capacity isn't really good enough at some of the older sites for the amount of vehicles that are on the road now.Even at some of the sites we have, at the best and more modern sites we can be topping up daily, or even twice a day through busy times like Christmas and EasterOur fuel is divided up 50/50 between retail (gas/service stations) and wholesale, direct deliveries to farm, orchard, mines, commercial industries etc, so we have a fairly significant fleet of trucks that are on the road every day.
How long will the oil and gas industry suffer due to low oil prices?
HiAccording to history a bear cycle in energy lasts around 10 years . this is cause of capital investment cycle and the price-demand-supply -technology cycle.this bear cycle started in 2010.. give or take a year..this should last easily till 2021 based on history and if everything else were constant as last time , i mean drilling technology which has advanced. and because of that there is a new player (USA). of course fringe players will have fallen off by then.but i think looking my crystal ball, this bear cycle will last till 2022.again give or take a year.cheersParag
Could we make new gas and oil by digging deep holes in the earth and filling them with all the dead and how deep and wide would they need to be?
This cannot be done so as it takes millions of years to be made into fossil fuels.However, diamond can be synthetically produced by placing pure carbon(graphite) at a very high pressure for sometime. This rearranges the lattice structure of graphite to produce diamond.This is not possible on the case of fossil fuels.For this issue of depleting fossil fuels and no method to produce them, we go for alternate energy to drive cars and derive power.Some countries have their petrol blended with ethanol to reduce the usage of petrol. However, the engine has to bed modified to accept the blended fuel!
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